PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Marona-

0x264bd96aab7286d8ccbf024cf520c5b63a610a98

Realised P&L
$-58.98
Volume
$3.3k
Markets traded
44
Open portfolio
$2.71

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded44
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration89.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0310.021$2.42−$1.15
Will Tigres UANL win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura? · Yes0.1000.006$0.30−$4.70
Exact Score: CD Guadalajara 2 - 1 FC Dallas? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$1.10
Portland Timbers vs. Club Puebla: Portland Timbers O/U 0.5 · Under0.0900.000$0.00−$1.80
CA Lanús leading at halftime? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$1.15
Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-08-05? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$2.70
Will Caracas FC win on 2026-08-06? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$1.10
Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-08-06? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00−$3.90
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-08-06? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$1.80
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2026-08-09? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00−$1.96
Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-07-31? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00−$6.93
Real Salt Lake vs. Atlante FC: O/U 12.5 Total Corners · Over0.3000.000$0.00−$1.50
Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-08-06? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$1.70
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-04? · Yes0.4500.000$0.00−$4.50
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-07-30? · Yes0.7300.000$0.00−$10.36

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-09 04:16Will Atletico Madrid win on 2026-08-09?BUY0.28$1.96
08-09 04:15Will Lens win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SELL0.002$2.00
08-09 01:13Exact Score: CD Guadalajara 2 - 1 FC Dallas?BUY0.11$1.10
08-09 01:05Real Salt Lake vs. Atlante FC: O/U 12.5 Total CornersBUY0.3$1.50
08-09 01:00Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.01278385$2.56
08-07 00:58Portland Timbers vs. Club Puebla: Portland Timbers O/U 0.5BUY0.09$1.80
08-06 23:47Will SC Internacional win on 2026-08-06?BUY0.03$1.05
08-06 23:19Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-08-06?BUY0.39$3.90
08-06 23:19Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-08-06?BUY0.17$1.70
08-06 23:16Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-08-06?BUY0.09$1.80
08-06 03:50Will Caracas FC win on 2026-08-06?BUY0.22$1.10
08-06 03:33Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-08-05?BUY0.37$3.70
08-06 03:27Will América de Cali win on 2026-08-05?SELL0.999$9.99
08-06 01:06Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-08-05?BUY0.12$1.20
08-05 20:58Will América de Cali win on 2026-08-05?BUY0.26$2.60