PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x2648E23A424D75AFf41dA82BB8b03e8eBABfba71-1768814566450

0x2648e23a424d75aff41da82bb8b03e8ebabfba71

Realised P&L
$-6.78
Volume
$545.98
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$3.37

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration79.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Human moon landing in 2026? · Yes0.0430.015$3.37$6.63
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET · Up0.2890.000$0.00$4.13
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? · Yes0.4500.000$0.00$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET · Up0.4630.000$0.00$1.20
US forces enter Iran by March 31? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00$5.00
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$3.00
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2? · Yes0.0330.000$0.00$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00$1.09
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET · Down0.2680.000$0.00$30.31

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-04 10:13Human moon landing in 2026?BUY0.0429677904$10.00
03-22 23:23US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY0.2199999727$5.00
03-01 08:42Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ETBUY0.3799999012$0.97
03-01 08:41Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETBUY0.0090000101$1.00
03-01 08:39Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETSELL0.99$2.27
03-01 08:36Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETBUY0.4799998272$0.97
03-01 08:36Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETBUY0.429999828$0.97
03-01 08:33Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETBUY0.05$0.71
03-01 08:30Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ETSELL0.9909999916$2.12
03-01 08:27Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ETBUY0.4599997608$0.97
03-01 08:27Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ETBUY0.4499997975$0.97
03-01 08:26US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?BUY0.4499999625$3.00
03-01 08:25US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?BUY0.179999958$3.00
03-01 08:25US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?BUY0.0333333333$3.00
01-22 06:31Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?BUY0.3829999848$10.00