0x2648E23A424D75AFf41dA82BB8b03e8eBABfba71-1768814566450
0x2648e23a424d75aff41da82bb8b03e8ebabfba71
- Realised P&L
- $-6.78
- Volume
- $545.98
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $3.37
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration79.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Human moon landing in 2026? · Yes | 0.043 | 0.015 | $3.37 | −$6.63 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET · Up | 0.289 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.13 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET · Up | 0.463 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 2? · Yes | 0.033 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET · Up | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.09 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET · Down | 0.268 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.31 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.10at 0.383Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$2.21at 0.489Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
- +$2.03at 0.505Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-04 10:13 | Human moon landing in 2026? | BUY | 0.0429677904 | $10.00 |
| 03-22 23:23 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.2199999727 | $5.00 |
| 03-01 08:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET | BUY | 0.3799999012 | $0.97 |
| 03-01 08:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET | BUY | 0.0090000101 | $1.00 |
| 03-01 08:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $2.27 |
| 03-01 08:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET | BUY | 0.4799998272 | $0.97 |
| 03-01 08:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET | BUY | 0.429999828 | $0.97 |
| 03-01 08:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $0.71 |
| 03-01 08:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET | SELL | 0.9909999916 | $2.12 |
| 03-01 08:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET | BUY | 0.4599997608 | $0.97 |
| 03-01 08:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET | BUY | 0.4499997975 | $0.97 |
| 03-01 08:26 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? | BUY | 0.4499999625 | $3.00 |
| 03-01 08:25 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 6? | BUY | 0.179999958 | $3.00 |
| 03-01 08:25 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 2? | BUY | 0.0333333333 | $3.00 |
| 01-22 06:31 | Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | BUY | 0.3829999848 | $10.00 |