PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x263e444ae0a77a3eeb63fa91629aaf87ee89c4bc

Realised P&L
$-335.88
Volume
$1.4k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$21.07

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-23.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration32.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration76.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.6201.000$16.13+$6.13
Ren Zhengfei public appearance by October 31? · No0.4200.415$4.94$0.06
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00$30.00
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$20.00
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Argentina0.4070.000$0.00$20.00
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 3.5 Corners · Over0.5100.000$0.00$10.00
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 17:28Ren Zhengfei public appearance by October 31?BUY0.4199999966$5.00
07-31 18:44Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5699999555$5.00
07-19 12:24Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 3.5 CornersBUY0.5099999786$10.00
07-19 08:22Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4074999929$20.00
06-13 18:34Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?BUY0.5899999894$20.00
06-13 18:22Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.6199999864$10.00
06-13 18:13Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?BUY0.5899999947$10.00
06-08 08:50Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2299999931$20.00
05-28 08:36Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.4299999961$20.00
02-14 18:19Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on February 15?BUY0.3995578227$30.00
02-14 13:10Bitcoin Up or Down on February 14?SELL0.05$2.13
02-13 17:17Bitcoin Up or Down on February 14?BUY0.4699999929$20.00
02-12 19:03Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 February 9-15?SELL0.62$21.10
02-12 17:39Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 February 9-15?BUY0.5753968124$10.00
02-12 17:37Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 February 9-15?BUY0.6$10.00