jtid9kwlrtoc
0x263c19a5d55e7c1aef8fccecca7da70229880c5b
- Realised P&L
- $-0.13
- Volume
- $507.37
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $3.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? · Yes | 0.998 | 0.980 | $1.96 | −$0.04 |
| Deportivo Saprissa vs. Sporting FC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners · Under | 0.769 | 0.499 | $1.30 | −$0.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.12at 0.281SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks
- +$2.89at 0.198MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$2.06at 0.369Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale?
- +$1.92at 0.521Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?
- +$1.11at 0.263Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 14:20 | Deportivo Saprissa vs. Sporting FC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners | BUY | 0.7689999804 | $2.00 |
| 10-15 18:13 | Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | BUY | 0.99799951 | $2.00 |
| 10-14 06:28 | Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week? | SELL | 0.992 | $2.53 |
| 10-12 19:29 | Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week? | BUY | 0.7819999257 | $2.00 |
| 10-10 10:17 | KBO: SSG Landers vs. Kia Tigers | BUY | 0.99 | $2.00 |
| 10-05 17:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BUY | 0.4989998795 | $2.00 |
| 09-30 19:54 | Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026? | SELL | 0.611 | $0.35 |
| 09-30 19:54 | Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026? | SELL | 0.609 | $0.05 |
| 09-30 19:54 | Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026? | SELL | 0.609 | $0.25 |
| 09-30 19:39 | Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026? | BUY | 0.6579999303 | $2.00 |
| 09-09 16:00 | LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.41 | $1.38 |
| 09-09 15:56 | LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.35 | $0.02 |
| 09-09 15:56 | LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.35 | $0.43 |
| 09-09 15:56 | LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.35 | $0.10 |
| 09-09 15:53 | LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.35 | $0.02 |