jacklu2
0x263a13ed30380f65cfac93abb3dd8b2e51817030
- Realised P&L
- $-7.69
- Volume
- $88.6k
- Markets traded
- 124
- Open portfolio
- $83.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded124
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in September? · No | 0.996 | 1.000 | $22.00 | +$0.09 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in September? · No | 0.997 | 1.000 | $22.00 | +$0.07 |
| Will Ethereum hit $4k by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.575 | $14.38 | +$3.13 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.645 | $12.90 | −$2.50 |
| Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.170 | $6.12 | −$15.48 |
| Will Dogecoin reach $0.16 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.675 | 0.166 | $5.81 | −$17.81 |
| Will BNB dip to $800 in January? · No | 0.920 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.12 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October? · Yes | 0.181 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.96 |
| Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.38 |
| LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) · Invictus Gaming | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.85at 0.556Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
- +$7.30at 0.635Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$3.73at 0.005Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$3.72at 0.005Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$3.42at 0.007Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 16:47 | Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.77 | $15.40 |
| 09-21 16:47 | Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in September? | BUY | 0.996 | $21.91 |
| 09-21 16:47 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in September? | BUY | 0.997 | $21.93 |
| 09-21 16:46 | Will Ethereum hit $4k by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.45 | $11.25 |
| 06-04 12:51 | Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in June? | BUY | 0.99 | $43.56 |
| 06-04 12:51 | Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $54.78 |
| 06-04 12:29 | Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.992 | $131.94 |
| 05-05 15:50 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May? | BUY | 0.991 | $10.90 |
| 05-05 15:50 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May? | BUY | 0.995 | $14.93 |
| 05-05 15:50 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May? | BUY | 0.998 | $14.97 |
| 05-05 15:50 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May? | BUY | 0.997 | $10.97 |
| 04-24 02:10 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April? | BUY | 0.998 | $14.97 |
| 04-24 02:10 | Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $14.97 |
| 04-24 02:10 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.989 | $14.82 |
| 04-24 02:10 | Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.993 | $132.07 |