PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

mchand94

0x263874aa6982af19f32cbec235241f3a3d4a4d69

Realised P&L
$-17.39
Volume
$986.19
Markets traded
47
Open portfolio
$2.14

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded47
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample34 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16? · Yes0.7500.865$1.15+$0.15
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · No0.3800.375$0.99−$0.01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET · Up0.2670.000$0.00−$2.00
XRP Up or Down - September 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 22? · Down0.0030.000$0.00−$1.00
Ethereum Up or Down - February 23, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET · Up0.6090.000$0.00−$1.00
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET · Up0.0400.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET · Down0.0800.000$0.00−$1.00
Ethereum Up or Down - February 23, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET · Up0.6190.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00−$1.00
Texas State Bobcats vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves · Texas State Bobcats0.1500.000$0.00−$1.00
Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET · Down0.4980.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 15:08Counter-Strike: Vitality Academy vs Elite Klan (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group CSELL0.999$1.17
10-12 14:48Dogecoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETBUY0.04$1.00
10-12 14:44LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational PlayoffsSELL0.999$2.12
10-12 13:08Counter-Strike: Vitality Academy vs Elite Klan (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group CBUY0.849999915$1.00
10-12 12:34Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.3799999924$1.00
10-12 12:31LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational PlayoffsBUY0.469999906$1.00
10-12 12:29Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16?BUY0.75$1.00
10-12 11:31Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ETBUY0.2$1.00
10-12 11:30Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ETBUY0.4$1.00
10-12 11:25Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETBUY0.549999945$1.00
10-12 11:23Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETBUY0.01$1.00
10-12 11:23Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETSELL0.01$0.04
10-12 11:21Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETBUY0.2799999664$1.00
09-12 23:14XRP Up or Down - September 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ETBUY0.01$1.00
03-01 12:59Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?SELL0.232$8.28