mchand94
0x263874aa6982af19f32cbec235241f3a3d4a4d69
- Realised P&L
- $-17.39
- Volume
- $986.19
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $2.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.56at 0.390Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$1.10at 0.482LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs
- +$1.00at 0.500US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$1.00at 0.500Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?
- +$0.96at 0.510Ethereum Up or Down - December 22, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 15:08 | Counter-Strike: Vitality Academy vs Elite Klan (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group C | SELL | 0.999 | $1.17 |
| 10-12 14:48 | Dogecoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 14:44 | LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs | SELL | 0.999 | $2.12 |
| 10-12 13:08 | Counter-Strike: Vitality Academy vs Elite Klan (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group C | BUY | 0.849999915 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 12:34 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 12:31 | LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 12:29 | Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 11:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 11:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 11:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 11:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 11:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET | SELL | 0.01 | $0.04 |
| 10-12 11:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 23:14 | XRP Up or Down - September 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 03-01 12:59 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | SELL | 0.232 | $8.28 |