PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

QuantDuck

0x2637aa568f566ed850650bb757d072c3055926e1

Realised P&L
$3.3k
Volume
$535.4k
Markets traded
191
Open portfolio
$2.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded191
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.6530.795$556.49+$99.50
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? · Yes0.5580.685$417.90+$77.64
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · Yes0.3600.355$320.50−$4.51
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes0.7130.992$297.60+$83.70
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3750.345$207.00−$18.00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? · Yes0.5500.620$186.00+$21.00
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? · No0.8300.885$177.00+$11.00
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.2030.044$62.65−$222.73
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · No0.2020.000$0.00−$107.79

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 15:10Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?BUY0.55$165.00
10-30 08:33Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?BUY0.36$145.02
10-30 08:31Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?BUY0.36$180.00
10-29 23:30Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?BUY0.53$13.25
10-29 23:30Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?BUY0.53$13.25
10-29 23:30Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?BUY0.53$13.25
10-29 23:30Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?BUY0.53$67.31
10-29 23:30Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?BUY0.52$4.20
10-29 23:28Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.004096425$1.64
10-29 23:12US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.713$213.90
10-29 07:29Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.9780283338$586.81
10-28 00:19Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.43$129.00
10-27 20:56Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.32$96.00
10-25 23:21Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.86$258.00
10-12 12:18Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?BUY0.83$166.00