AdmiralNGL
0x262919ac3414bc8d47a3ad6526cd0204b7d74166
- Realised P&L
- $-6.6k
- Volume
- $424.7k
- Markets traded
- 92
- Open portfolio
- $2.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded92
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.647Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
- +$1.2kat 0.330Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
- +$747.64at 0.215Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?
- +$712.36at 0.726Will United States win on 2026-07-01?
- +$474.39at 0.597Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 21:51 | Will André do Prado win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? | BUY | 0.5499999983 | $47.92 |
| 09-12 21:49 | Will Bia Kicis win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election? | BUY | 0.6816776354 | $100.00 |
| 09-12 21:48 | Will Filipe Barros win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election? | BUY | 0.4547512791 | $150.00 |
| 09-12 21:45 | Will André do Prado win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? | BUY | 0.6234401761 | $100.00 |
| 09-12 21:44 | Will Helio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election? | BUY | 0.3038792777 | $150.00 |
| 09-12 21:43 | Will Deltan Dallagnol win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election? | BUY | 0.5566600377 | $100.00 |
| 09-12 21:43 | Will Deltan Dallagnol win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election? | BUY | 0.5229340466 | $200.00 |
| 09-12 21:40 | Will Carlos Bolsonaro win the most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election? | BUY | 0.3580375008 | $75.00 |
| 09-12 21:40 | Will Orleans Brandão win the Governor of Maranhão election? | BUY | 0.3099999992 | $50.00 |
| 09-12 21:39 | Will Orleans Brandão win the Governor of Maranhão election? | BUY | 0.2845583927 | $150.00 |
| 09-12 21:37 | Will Bia Kicis win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election? | BUY | 0.5527974423 | $150.00 |
| 09-12 21:36 | Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election? | BUY | 0.6195250301 | $300.00 |
| 09-12 21:35 | Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.7247336016 | $150.00 |
| 09-12 21:35 | Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.6731110816 | $150.00 |
| 09-12 21:34 | Will André do Prado win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? | BUY | 0.5202743502 | $100.00 |