0x2620e5e3c2d3586a0ae265a7f04080f0dfc22a78
- Realised P&L
- $-59.12
- Volume
- $8.6k
- Markets traded
- 133
- Open portfolio
- $53.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded133
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$80.36at 0.116Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-02?
- +$46.72at 0.401ITF Gran Canaria: Berfu Cengiz vs Laura Pigossi
- +$41.19at 0.135Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
- +$22.28at 0.568Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners
- +$17.61at 0.472Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 16:31 | Will Solana reach $105 on September 17? | BUY | 0.96 | $27.00 |
| 09-17 16:16 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 on September 17? | BUY | 0.96 | $27.00 |
| 09-16 15:46 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on September 17? | BUY | 0.94 | $27.00 |
| 08-25 07:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $1.00 |
| 08-25 04:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 25? | SELL | 0.999 | $27.32 |
| 08-25 04:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on August 25? | SELL | 0.818 | $22.90 |
| 08-24 04:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 25? | BUY | 0.9769999994 | $27.00 |
| 08-24 04:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on August 25? | BUY | 0.963999999 | $27.00 |
| 08-23 05:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on August 23? | BUY | 0.9849999998 | $27.00 |
| 08-22 06:16 | Will Solana reach $110 August 17-23? | BUY | 0.9819999994 | $27.00 |
| 08-21 06:01 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on August 21? | BUY | 0.9699999996 | $27.00 |
| 08-21 05:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on August 22? | BUY | 0.9529999789 | $27.00 |
| 08-19 21:16 | XRP Up or Down on August 20? | BUY | 0.96 | $27.00 |
| 08-18 05:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 19? | BUY | 0.9809999995 | $27.00 |
| 08-18 05:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 19? | BUY | 0.9739999707 | $27.00 |