Inthetrench
0x2619eab30fae262baf0a327010af8a56727d50a8
- Realised P&L
- $140.51
- Volume
- $112.3k
- Markets traded
- 226
- Open portfolio
- $18.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded226
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$181.52at 0.783Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
- +$146.60at 0.250Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?
- +$93.97at 0.850Will the price of Ethereum be between $3600 and $3700 on July 25 at 5PM ET?
- +$91.84at 0.853Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?
- +$65.31at 0.446Over $20M committed to the Paystream raise on MetaDAO?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-24 15:23 | Will Wisconsin disenfranchise any voter for betting on elections before election day? | SELL | 0.17 | $17.00 |
| 07-24 14:32 | Will Google have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.40 |
| 07-03 21:35 | Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31? | BUY | 0.025 | $10.00 |
| 06-23 14:15 | Will Starmer officially leave office by July 31? | SELL | 0.1780112532 | $69.60 |
| 06-23 13:29 | Will Starmer officially leave office by July 31? | SELL | 0.23 | $2.07 |
| 06-18 15:06 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL | 0.13 | $91.00 |
| 06-18 15:05 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.14 | $98.00 |
| 06-18 13:47 | Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month? | SELL | 0.8 | $40.00 |
| 06-17 20:24 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.54 | $32.40 |
| 06-17 20:09 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.112 | $6.59 |
| 06-17 20:08 | Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.7 | $10.29 |
| 06-17 19:55 | Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid? | SELL | 0.8474262778 | $152.54 |
| 06-10 20:56 | Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.6799999946 | $10.00 |
| 05-30 21:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET | SELL | 0.64 | $5.00 |
| 05-30 21:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |