PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

SergeyS

0x261444f5d65b12e284a443dc7659755409494442

Realised P&L
$3.4k
Volume
$1.97M
Markets traded
2,221
Open portfolio
$373.29

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,221
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration10.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.3540.215$171.35$110.56
Will Denmark win on 2026-09-24? · No0.7800.785$56.89+$0.36
Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.5600.935$40.32+$16.17
Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.7000.994$33.95+$10.04
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $2B? · Yes0.5200.060$28.31$217.04
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B? · Yes0.3880.070$24.78$112.73
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Conventus Stellarum (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage · Conventus Stellarum0.6980.015$5.25$247.34
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage · LGD Gaming0.7400.715$4.28$0.15
Will Perena launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.3900.993$3.42+$2.08
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027? · Yes0.1600.066$3.14$4.48
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · Yes0.4700.780$1.38+$0.55
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6800.100$0.20$1.16
Will Valencia CF vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00$38.65
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5 · Over0.4100.000$0.00$34.44
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$1.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 13:40Counter-Strike: B8 vs Luminosity (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect PlayoffsBUY0.62$172.50
09-22 09:39Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Team Cobra (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageBUY0.86$129.90
09-22 09:38Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Team Cobra (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageBUY0.84$40.32
09-21 15:08Will MrBeast's next video get between 48 and 50 million views on day 3?SELL0.46$9.66
09-21 14:33Will MrBeast's next video get between 48 and 50 million views on day 3?SELL0.46$18.40
09-19 12:05LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals PlayoffsBUY0.77$140.43
09-19 11:50LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals PlayoffsBUY0.76$769.23
09-16 19:29Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.93$2.8k
09-16 18:59Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.94$5.65
09-15 19:29Will Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?BUY0.88$114.50
09-15 10:16Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 33 and 34 million views on day 3?SELL0.93$18.60
09-15 10:11Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 33 and 34 million views on day 3?SELL0.932$18.64
09-15 10:02Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 33 and 34 million views on day 3?SELL0.041$0.82
09-15 09:28Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 33 and 34 million views on day 3?SELL0.021$0.42
09-15 09:28Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 32 and 33 million views on day 3?SELL0.015$0.30