ceasal
0x2613b0dab94d169027482ec064f5cbdebd443dcc
- Realised P&L
- $2.8k
- Volume
- $1.19M
- Markets traded
- 14,752
- Open portfolio
- $56.66
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14,752
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Saitama Seibu Lions · Saitama Seibu Lions | 0.990 | 0.975 | $38.98 | −$0.62 |
| KBO: NC Dinos vs. Doosan Bears · Doosan Bears | 0.990 | 0.499 | $9.98 | −$9.82 |
| Counter-Strike: Glitchtech Esports vs Phantom Academy (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season · Glitchtech Esports | 0.507 | 0.495 | $7.70 | −$0.19 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$280.30at 0.310Will Unionistas de Salamanca CF vs. CP Cacereno SAD end in a draw?
- +$201.60at 0.495CD Comerciantes Unidos leading at halftime?
- +$200.00at 0.333Atletico de Rafaela vs. CA Defensores de Belgrano: Draw at halftime?
- +$194.27at 0.481Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
- +$186.36at 0.470Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 20:40 | Exact Score: Albania 2 - 1 San Marino? | SELL | 0.999 | $39.96 |
| 10-06 20:39 | Exact Score: Albania 2 - 1 San Marino? | BUY | 0.99 | $39.60 |
| 10-06 20:38 | Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 0 North Macedonia? | SELL | 0.999 | $39.96 |
| 10-06 19:03 | Counter-Strike: Glitchtech Esports vs Phantom Academy (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season | BUY | 0.5070758355 | $7.89 |
| 10-06 17:58 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.9594091054 | $30.14 |
| 10-06 15:30 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.983 | $39.32 |
| 10-06 13:24 | W50 Burgas, Main Draw: Completed Match: Loes Ebeling Koning vs Teodora Naidenova | BUY | 0.99 | $39.60 |
| 10-06 12:14 | W15 Chisinau, Main Draw: Completed Match: Defne Cirpanli vs Anastasia Safta | BUY | 0.985 | $39.40 |
| 10-06 11:49 | M15 Monastir: Mathys Picard vs Maxime Chazal | BUY | 0.9535825 | $38.14 |
| 10-06 10:18 | M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying: Completed Match: Omar Kandil vs Bogdan Seleznev | BUY | 0.99 | $39.60 |
| 10-06 06:00 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.98 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 01:44 | Flyers vs. Lightning | BUY | 0.99 | $39.60 |
| 10-06 01:43 | Flyers vs. Lightning | BUY | 0.99 | $39.60 |
| 10-05 19:59 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on October 5? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.03 |
| 10-05 19:55 | Dota 2: MOUZ vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $19.98 |