PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ceasal

0x2613b0dab94d169027482ec064f5cbdebd443dcc

Realised P&L
$2.8k
Volume
$1.19M
Markets traded
14,752
Open portfolio
$56.66

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14,752
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration68.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Saitama Seibu Lions · Saitama Seibu Lions0.9900.975$38.98−$0.62
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Doosan Bears · Doosan Bears0.9900.499$9.98−$9.82
Counter-Strike: Glitchtech Esports vs Phantom Academy (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season · Glitchtech Esports0.5070.495$7.70−$0.19

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 20:40Exact Score: Albania 2 - 1 San Marino?SELL0.999$39.96
10-06 20:39Exact Score: Albania 2 - 1 San Marino?BUY0.99$39.60
10-06 20:38Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 0 North Macedonia?SELL0.999$39.96
10-06 19:03Counter-Strike: Glitchtech Esports vs Phantom Academy (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular SeasonBUY0.5070758355$7.89
10-06 17:58Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on October 6?BUY0.9594091054$30.14
10-06 15:30Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 6?BUY0.983$39.32
10-06 13:24W50 Burgas, Main Draw: Completed Match: Loes Ebeling Koning vs Teodora NaidenovaBUY0.99$39.60
10-06 12:14W15 Chisinau, Main Draw: Completed Match: Defne Cirpanli vs Anastasia SaftaBUY0.985$39.40
10-06 11:49M15 Monastir: Mathys Picard vs Maxime ChazalBUY0.9535825$38.14
10-06 10:18M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying: Completed Match: Omar Kandil vs Bogdan SeleznevBUY0.99$39.60
10-06 06:00Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on October 6?BUY0.98$5.00
10-06 01:44Flyers vs. LightningBUY0.99$39.60
10-06 01:43Flyers vs. LightningBUY0.99$39.60
10-05 19:59Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on October 5?SELL0.999$1.03
10-05 19:55Dota 2: MOUZ vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 WinnerSELL0.999$19.98