tusrname
0x2613b0dab94d169027482ec064f5cbdebd443dcc
- Realised P&L
- $2.4k
- Volume
- $600.7k
- Markets traded
- 6,485
- Open portfolio
- $417.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,485
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 · Under | 0.470 | 0.730 | $219.00 | +$78.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 3? · Yes | 0.959 | 1.000 | $198.89 | +$8.16 |
| Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs MIBR - Map 1 Winner · Evil Geniuses | 0.990 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$61.82 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 27, 4AM ET · Up | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$77.27at 0.486Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 9AM ET
- +$73.49at 0.522Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
- +$45.20at 0.676Valorant: FUT Esports vs BBL Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha
- +$40.40at 0.320Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 9?
- +$39.83at 0.7571st 5 Innings Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 20:31 | Will Cabot (CBT) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.99 | $0.55 |
| 08-03 18:53 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.9585 | $191.70 |
| 08-03 17:57 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.999 | $79.92 |
| 08-03 17:41 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in August? | SELL | 0.999 | $199.80 |
| 08-03 15:06 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.999 | $199.80 |
| 08-03 14:33 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.999 | $199.80 |
| 08-03 08:02 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.999 | $199.80 |
| 08-03 08:00 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C or higher on August 3? | BUY | 0.9379035472 | $47.06 |
| 08-03 06:21 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.999 | $6.22 |
| 08-02 22:05 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.58 | $11.60 |
| 08-02 20:58 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 2? | SELL | 0.999 | $199.80 |
| 08-02 20:55 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.99 | $69.55 |
| 08-02 20:15 | Exact Score: Olimpija Ljubljana 1 - 0 Aluminij Kidricevo? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 08-02 17:00 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.999 | $159.84 |
| 08-02 16:59 | Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Atalanta BC: Atalanta BC O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |