PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

idt

0x260cfa64ab4a985f2dd82b0a06a10ea72fb57f00

Realised P&L
$24.00
Volume
$8.2k
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$208.30

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)85.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration92.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026? · Yes0.6960.658$192.80$11.10
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0290.015$15.50$13.50
Will "Data Center" be said 5+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? · Yes0.7380.000$0.00$29.34
Will "AI" be said 35+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? · Yes0.8310.000$0.00$13.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 19:05Will "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be said 10+ times during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?BUY0.5$11.30
08-29 23:38Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 7:35PM-7:40PM ETSELL0.93$4.65
08-29 23:36Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 7:35PM-7:40PM ETBUY0.61$3.05
08-29 14:04Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-08-29?SELL0.1$1.40
08-29 13:59Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-08-29?BUY0.15$2.10
08-08 08:33Will no episode air?BUY0.0045317176$1.00
08-08 01:31Will "Blue" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?BUY0.68$4.42
08-08 01:31Will "Blue" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?BUY0.65$20.15
07-24 21:20Will "Miracle" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?BUY0.91$7.28
07-22 20:13Will "Blue" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?BUY0.949$12.61
07-06 13:27OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?BUY0.695$17.77
06-19 09:24Will "AI" be said 35+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?BUY0.84$5.25
06-19 09:23Will "AI" be said 35+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?BUY0.82$4.10
06-19 09:22GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?SELL0.947$21.95
06-19 09:22GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?SELL0.948$11.38