0x2603cd077eb3ca3789489c9e7ee82de08b007438
0x2603cd077eb3ca3789489c9e7ee82de08b007438
- Realised P&L
- $-630.22
- Volume
- $26.9k
- Markets traded
- 50
- Open portfolio
- $117.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded50
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "Hormuz" during his Midterm Rally in Arizona? · Yes | 0.330 | 1.000 | $76.45 | +$51.21 |
| Will Trump say "Hormuz" during his Midterm Rally in Montana? · Yes | 0.348 | 0.550 | $41.44 | +$15.18 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$156.86at 0.445Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
- +$130.58at 0.504Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
- +$123.64at 0.593Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
- +$121.41at 0.330Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
- +$79.53at 0.621Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 21:21 | Will Trump say "Healthcare" 3+ times during his Midterm Rally in Arizona? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.23 |
| 10-14 18:14 | Will Trump say "Hormuz" during his Midterm Rally in Montana? | BUY | 0.3484871451 | $26.26 |
| 10-14 18:12 | Will Trump say "Healthcare" 3+ times during his Midterm Rally in Montana? | SELL | 0.57 | $2.99 |
| 10-14 18:12 | Will Trump say "Healthcare" 3+ times during his Midterm Rally in Montana? | SELL | 0.57 | $13.70 |
| 10-14 18:07 | Will Trump say "Hormuz" during his Midterm Rally in Arizona? | SELL | 0.32 | $28.86 |
| 10-14 16:00 | Will Trump say "Great Falls" during his Midterm Rally in Montana? | SELL | 0.61 | $42.57 |
| 10-14 14:51 | Will Trump say "Great Falls" during his Midterm Rally in Montana? | BUY | 0.7199999966 | $50.25 |
| 10-14 14:45 | Will Trump say "Healthcare" 3+ times during his Midterm Rally in Arizona? | BUY | 0.5799999923 | $13.49 |
| 10-14 14:44 | Will Trump say "ICE" 3+ times during his Midterm Rally in Arizona? | SELL | 0.7335796074 | $26.91 |
| 10-14 14:18 | Will Trump say "Healthcare" 3+ times during his Midterm Rally in Montana? | BUY | 0.6099999993 | $17.87 |
| 10-14 13:45 | Will Trump say "ICE" 3+ times during his Midterm Rally in Arizona? | SELL | 0.73 | $26.75 |
| 10-14 09:53 | Will Trump say "ICE" 3+ times during his Midterm Rally in Arizona? | BUY | 0.75 | $55.00 |
| 10-14 09:45 | Will Trump say "Hormuz" during his Midterm Rally in Arizona? | BUY | 0.3299999993 | $55.00 |
| 10-14 01:48 | Will Trump say "Reagan" during his Midterm Rally in Alaska? | BUY | 0.9899999174 | $7.31 |
| 10-13 20:07 | Will Trump say "Reagan" during his Midterm Rally in Alaska? | SELL | 0.46 | $33.37 |