wisagan
0x25fe4873b4a8aa64f843ac35ff0590dcb65e5d67
- Realised P&L
- $51.43
- Volume
- $9.6k
- Markets traded
- 182
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded182
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration91.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$42.35at 0.913Xi Jinping out in 2025?
- +$6.58at 0.014Will Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31?
- +$5.74at 0.026Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the Western Conference?
- +$4.51at 0.510DeepSeek R2 released before May?
- +$4.28at 0.921Trump out as President by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 05:59 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.786 | $3.93 |
| 06-14 01:18 | Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season? | SELL | 0.991 | $5.08 |
| 06-13 23:44 | Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.2 | $1.20 |
| 06-09 06:14 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? | SELL | 0.32 | $2.59 |
| 06-07 08:40 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? | BUY | 0.3699999272 | $3.00 |
| 06-07 08:36 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.215 | $0.90 |
| 06-04 21:13 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.465 | $1.40 |
| 05-30 23:19 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.277999923 | $2.00 |
| 05-30 23:19 | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.58 | $1.11 |
| 05-19 18:28 | Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.044 | $1.32 |
| 05-19 18:27 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.49 | $4.90 |
| 05-14 00:34 | Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | BUY | 0.6 | $4.80 |
| 05-13 11:53 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.821 | $4.10 |
| 05-08 06:51 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.904 | $18.08 |
| 05-07 04:21 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | SELL | 0.3 | $0.88 |