PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

agentgub

0x25f93824f196503a472b6c8c001abe750231b79b

Realised P&L
$-12.96
Volume
$1.9k
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$300.15

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration50.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? · No0.6360.974$190.84+$66.19
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.1630.155$53.75−$2.48
Will Manchester City be relegated from the Premier League in 2026-27? · No0.7400.760$38.00+$1.00
Will FDP be in the next Berlin state government? · No0.9870.970$17.56−$0.31

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 17:43Will FDP be in the next Berlin state government?BUY0.987$5.56
09-26 17:38Will FDP be in the next Berlin state government?BUY0.987$12.31
09-22 18:05Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?SELL0.14$34.47
09-21 17:47Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?SELL0.09$8.68
09-20 20:00Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.25$1.55
09-20 16:23Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?BUY0.12$1.20
09-20 16:20Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.15$15.00
09-20 16:19Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?SELL0.11$16.50
09-20 16:19Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?SELL0.13$1.30
09-20 16:17Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?SELL0.15$4.48
09-20 16:09Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?BUY0.2$2.00
09-20 16:09Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?BUY0.2$2.00
09-20 16:03Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?BUY0.22$1.10
09-20 16:03Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?BUY0.21$1.05
09-20 16:03Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?BUY0.2$2.25