PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

cambri

0x25ee15ec44a11c4c603c991d48360a85b2972d2e

Realised P&L
$588.23
Volume
$33.3k
Markets traded
869
Open portfolio
$142.23

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded869
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration70.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 8? · Yes0.9681.000$99.95+$3.15
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 8? · Yes0.9971.000$42.28+$0.12
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 7? · Yes0.0580.000$0.00−$42.60
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 7? · No0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 19:04Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 8?BUY0.997$33.28
10-07 22:26Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 7?BUY0.001$1.00
10-07 21:35Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 7?SELL0.999$19.96
10-07 15:09Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 7?BUY0.9684658923$629.50
10-05 20:34Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on October 5?BUY0.999$68.04
10-05 15:22Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C or higher on October 5?BUY0.98$475.76
10-05 15:11Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 5?BUY0.7$2.39
10-05 13:22Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 5?SELL0.002$0.06
10-04 08:04Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 4?SELL0.5633333333$8.45
10-04 06:51Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 4?BUY0.37$5.55
10-03 16:04Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 3?SELL0.933$8.71
10-03 12:05Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 3?BUY0.852$6.82
10-03 11:41Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 3?BUY0.9084292237$15.92
10-02 18:27Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 3?BUY0.94$15.66
10-02 14:22Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 2?SELL0.26$2.27