cambri
0x25ee15ec44a11c4c603c991d48360a85b2972d2e
- Realised P&L
- $588.23
- Volume
- $33.3k
- Markets traded
- 869
- Open portfolio
- $142.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded869
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 8? · Yes | 0.968 | 1.000 | $99.95 | +$3.15 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 8? · Yes | 0.997 | 1.000 | $42.28 | +$0.12 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 7? · Yes | 0.058 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$42.60 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 7? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$64.35at 0.243Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on August 13?
- +$60.24at 0.139Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 16?
- +$46.20at 0.230Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 31?
- +$42.43at 0.717Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on September 11?
- +$40.50at 0.730Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 19:04 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.997 | $33.28 |
| 10-07 22:26 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 21:35 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 7? | SELL | 0.999 | $19.96 |
| 10-07 15:09 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.9684658923 | $629.50 |
| 10-05 20:34 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $68.04 |
| 10-05 15:22 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C or higher on October 5? | BUY | 0.98 | $475.76 |
| 10-05 15:11 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.7 | $2.39 |
| 10-05 13:22 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 5? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.06 |
| 10-04 08:04 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.5633333333 | $8.45 |
| 10-04 06:51 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.37 | $5.55 |
| 10-03 16:04 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 3? | SELL | 0.933 | $8.71 |
| 10-03 12:05 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.852 | $6.82 |
| 10-03 11:41 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.9084292237 | $15.92 |
| 10-02 18:27 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.94 | $15.66 |
| 10-02 14:22 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 2? | SELL | 0.26 | $2.27 |