DebeliMomak
0x25e2af508ffbcbdd030015a7e9bfabe5552b0ab6
- Realised P&L
- $-18.01
- Volume
- $649.80
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $1.59
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration96.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Student List win 50% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.145 | $1.59 | −$0.06 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-09-27? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET · Up | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET · Down | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.81at 0.366Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
- +$0.07at 0.934Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
- +$-1.04at 0.477Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
- +$-2.08at 0.477Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
- +$-3.15at 0.030Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 19:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | BUY | 0.4899999984 | $3.00 |
| 09-27 21:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 21:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 21:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | BUY | 0.419999979 | $2.00 |
| 09-27 21:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 19:28 | Will Norway win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $3.00 |
| 09-27 19:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET | BUY | 0.6299999181 | $2.00 |
| 09-27 18:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET | BUY | 0.9299999907 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 16:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET | BUY | 0.4599999034 | $2.00 |
| 09-27 16:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 09-27 16:37 | Will the Student List win 50% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.65 |