szdong
0x25e2172206fbb79fffddfa31c14bb84272e5a4f0
- Realised P&L
- $-202.84
- Volume
- $12.2k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $156.27
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? · Yes | 0.109 | 0.085 | $156.27 | −$43.73 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 9PM ET · Down | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Japan? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Toshimitsu Motegi be the next Prime Minister of Japan? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$38.59 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.413 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.00 |
| Will Taro Kono be the next Prime Minister of Japan? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.04 |
| Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 2 Japan? · Yes | 0.103 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.92 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 6AM ET · Down | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Yuichiro Tamaki be the next Prime Minister of Japan? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.70 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-29? · Yes | 0.185 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Will Yoshimasa Hayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan? · Yes | 0.028 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.91 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$115.84at 0.400Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
- +$26.00at 0.470Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 11AM ET
- +$23.21at 0.780Will the price of Ethereum be between $4300 and $4400 on August 18?
- +$20.21at 0.330Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 12AM ET
- +$2.20at 0.520Ethereum Up or Down - August 5, 9AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 04:58 | Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? | BUY | 0.1087852226 | $200.00 |
| 07-19 17:57 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.412999993 | $30.00 |
| 07-19 17:55 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.412999993 | $30.00 |
| 06-29 18:22 | Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Japan? | BUY | 0.1099999913 | $10.00 |
| 06-29 18:11 | Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 2 Japan? | BUY | 0.1043307041 | $20.00 |
| 06-29 18:08 | Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 2 Japan? | BUY | 0.096 | $1.92 |
| 06-29 17:25 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.1799999928 | $20.00 |
| 06-29 16:58 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.1899999939 | $20.00 |
| 10-10 10:18 | Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan? | SELL | 0.6755316342 | $472.04 |
| 10-06 07:13 | Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan? | BUY | 0.989 | $143.01 |
| 10-06 07:12 | Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan? | BUY | 0.9894586499 | $548.33 |
| 10-04 05:03 | Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan? | BUY | 0.37 | $60.13 |
| 10-03 06:26 | Will Yoshimasa Hayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan? | BUY | 0.048 | $9.98 |
| 10-01 05:24 | Will Yoshimasa Hayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan? | SELL | 0.069 | $13.80 |
| 09-27 14:24 | Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan? | SELL | 0.23 | $69.92 |