PolyBot

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Traders

ElCapitan619

0x25e13526752149db5fb69562db85186cb8586735

Realised P&L
$-10.1k
Volume
$1.27M
Markets traded
97
Open portfolio
$5.4k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded97
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration72.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration77.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1110.055$4.2k$4.2k
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0280.031$1.2k+$134.08
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0080.009$2.13+$0.13
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? · No0.1400.000$0.00$5.00
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$25.00
Exact Score: Any Other Score? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$2.50
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina? · Yes0.0460.000$0.00$47.42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET · Down0.2830.000$0.00$24.91
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance · Cabo Verde0.0900.000$0.00$66.89
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 3 Japan? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00$3.00
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$4.32
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 France? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-08 04:19Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.008$2.00
09-03 13:33Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.06$30.00
09-03 13:32Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.0084176025$32.23
09-03 12:56Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.06$75.00
09-03 12:55Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.0090074442$36.30
09-03 12:55Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.0100354267$31.16
09-03 12:54Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.011$11.00
09-03 12:52Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.0599999984$34.00
09-03 12:50Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.011$22.99
09-03 12:50Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.012$12.00
09-03 12:49Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.0599999968$17.00
09-03 12:48Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.013$14.30
09-03 12:48Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.014$2.80
09-03 12:47Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.059999999$55.00
09-03 12:46Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.014$16.80