PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

yayyay

0x25d7bf5642fa4c4b90462c061a7c594a2e01c2bf

Realised P&L
$-19.3k
Volume
$1.48M
Markets traded
83
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded83
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration55.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration65.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.0660.035$779.69−$720.50
New pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0420.017$204.00−$295.93
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? · Yes0.2840.045$96.75−$513.75
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.0280.013$60.13−$62.67
Ebola pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0290.024$42.16−$10.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 13:19Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.023$188.16
07-10 16:00Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?BUY0.47$211.50
07-08 12:35Israel closes its airspace by July 15?BUY0.078$1.56
07-05 06:41Israel closes its airspace by July 15?BUY0.024$9.60
07-05 06:28Will England win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.61$61.00
07-05 06:08Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?SELL0.26$156.00
06-26 13:56Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.056$224.00
06-24 13:15Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw?BUY0.18$36.00
06-24 13:14Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?BUY0.83$332.00
06-23 13:05Will Panama win on 2026-06-23?BUY0.13$97.50
06-23 13:03Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?BUY0.05$100.00
06-23 03:09Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?BUY0.67$201.00
06-23 01:50Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?SELL0.004$8.80
06-23 00:03Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?BUY0.28$56.00
06-22 13:51Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?BUY0.22$44.00