yayyay
0x25d7bf5642fa4c4b90462c061a7c594a2e01c2bf
- Realised P&L
- $-19.3k
- Volume
- $1.48M
- Markets traded
- 83
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded83
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes | 0.066 | 0.035 | $779.69 | −$720.50 |
| New pandemic in 2026? · Yes | 0.042 | 0.017 | $204.00 | −$295.93 |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? · Yes | 0.284 | 0.045 | $96.75 | −$513.75 |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes | 0.028 | 0.013 | $60.13 | −$62.67 |
| Ebola pandemic in 2026? · Yes | 0.029 | 0.024 | $42.16 | −$10.35 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.9kat 0.104Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- +$746.80at 0.581Will Matt Gaetz be Trump's Attorney General?
- +$397.60at 0.205Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?
- +$270.00at 0.730Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
- +$202.94at 0.662Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 13:19 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.023 | $188.16 |
| 07-10 16:00 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BUY | 0.47 | $211.50 |
| 07-08 12:35 | Israel closes its airspace by July 15? | BUY | 0.078 | $1.56 |
| 07-05 06:41 | Israel closes its airspace by July 15? | BUY | 0.024 | $9.60 |
| 07-05 06:28 | Will England win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.61 | $61.00 |
| 07-05 06:08 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.26 | $156.00 |
| 06-26 13:56 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.056 | $224.00 |
| 06-24 13:15 | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw? | BUY | 0.18 | $36.00 |
| 06-24 13:14 | Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.83 | $332.00 |
| 06-23 13:05 | Will Panama win on 2026-06-23? | BUY | 0.13 | $97.50 |
| 06-23 13:03 | Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23? | BUY | 0.05 | $100.00 |
| 06-23 03:09 | Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? | BUY | 0.67 | $201.00 |
| 06-23 01:50 | Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw? | SELL | 0.004 | $8.80 |
| 06-23 00:03 | Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw? | BUY | 0.28 | $56.00 |
| 06-22 13:51 | Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw? | BUY | 0.22 | $44.00 |