Lucasfla
0x25d761bcb2cd6b8905cbc56c31b0421a2aa97917
- Realised P&L
- $-516.58
- Volume
- $5.2k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $170.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$52.48at 0.670Counter-Strike: FURIA vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage
- +$49.33at 0.548Will Brazil record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
- +$32.35at 0.755Rio Open: Joao Fonseca vs Thiago Monteiro
- +$29.53at 0.396Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$24.40at 0.450Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 01:11 | W35 Seville: Eva Vedder vs Lorena Solar Donoso | BUY | 0.5099999976 | $96.51 |
| 10-05 00:54 | W35 Seville: Eva Vedder vs Lorena Solar Donoso | BUY | 0.5099999968 | $76.05 |
| 10-05 00:53 | Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.998 | $48.99 |
| 10-04 22:26 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.15 | $29.94 |
| 10-04 21:17 | Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.11 | $47.74 |
| 10-04 16:46 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6699999974 | $147.27 |
| 10-04 16:45 | Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.386999994 | $19.00 |
| 10-02 03:22 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4 | $79.84 |
| 10-02 03:02 | Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.7299999993 | $200.00 |
| 05-22 02:41 | Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B | BUY | 0.5799999993 | $49.00 |
| 03-15 16:30 | Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0474101949 | $10.00 |
| 03-15 16:24 | Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.1799999755 | $5.00 |
| 02-18 19:36 | Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.3099999836 | $10.00 |
| 02-18 19:33 | Will The Secret Agent win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.006 | $6.00 |
| 02-18 18:59 | Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Imperial (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup 1 Playoffs | BUY | 0.8158408433 | $200.00 |