wuwu55
0x25ca5e6be420a5b3c6450390ef8e4d80d7745291
- Realised P&L
- $1.63
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $30.54
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration47.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? · No | 0.920 | 0.935 | $13.21 | +$0.21 |
| US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? · Yes | 0.910 | 0.945 | $7.27 | +$0.27 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House · No | 0.995 | 0.995 | $6.00 | −$0.00 |
| Will Jay Z appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.945 | $4.06 | +$0.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.70at 0.820Will Trump say "Kamala" 5 or more times during victory rally?
- +$1.44at 0.900Will Ralph Lauren (RL) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$0.57at 0.994Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?
- +$0.53at 0.995Will Ethereum reach $8000 in October?
- +$0.23at 0.990Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 07:21 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in October? | BUY | 0.9989999345 | $15.00 |
| 10-31 07:21 | Will Jay Z appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? | BUY | 0.929999993 | $4.00 |
| 10-31 07:20 | US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? | BUY | 0.9099999636 | $7.00 |
| 10-31 07:19 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.9929999024 | $9.00 |
| 10-31 07:18 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $6.00 |
| 10-31 07:18 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | BUY | 0.9199999858 | $13.00 |
| 10-31 07:17 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | BUY | 0.995 | $6.00 |
| 12-12 06:25 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.99 | $23.00 |
| 12-12 06:24 | Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31? | SELL | 0.998 | $54.83 |
| 12-09 01:07 | Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31? | BUY | 0.998999999 | $109.78 |
| 12-09 01:07 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | SELL | 0.992 | $109.77 |
| 12-09 01:04 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.993 | $109.89 |
| 11-06 09:48 | Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November? | BUY | 0.994 | $94.88 |
| 11-06 09:47 | Will Ralph Lauren (RL) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.8999999515 | $13.00 |
| 10-15 02:43 | Will Ethereum reach $8000 in October? | BUY | 0.9949999923 | $105.00 |