clothehanger
0x25c8bebd81d82d354bf1d69e982135232bdcdfde
- Realised P&L
- $21.70
- Volume
- $6.3k
- Markets traded
- 72
- Open portfolio
- $322.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded72
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 30? · Yes | 0.991 | 1.000 | $151.79 | +$1.37 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on October 30? · Yes | 0.999 | 1.000 | $120.54 | +$0.12 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on October 30? · Yes | 0.997 | 1.000 | $30.18 | +$0.10 |
| Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $60? · Yes | 0.982 | 0.983 | $19.66 | +$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.60at 0.520Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 28, 2026?
- +$3.59at 0.950Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?
- +$1.54at 0.981Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $220 in July?
- +$1.50at 0.985Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
- +$1.48at 0.982Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by October 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 09:13 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on October 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $120.42 |
| 10-30 09:13 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on October 30? | BUY | 0.9968343274 | $30.08 |
| 10-30 09:12 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 30? | BUY | 0.991 | $150.42 |
| 10-29 08:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $154.00 |
| 10-29 08:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $38.49 |
| 10-29 08:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $48.11 |
| 10-29 08:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $60.14 |
| 10-28 08:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $30.05 |
| 10-28 08:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $150.28 |
| 10-26 14:08 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 26? | BUY | 0.998 | $134.96 |
| 10-26 14:07 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 26? | BUY | 0.997 | $134.95 |
| 10-26 14:07 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 26? | BUY | 0.996 | $29.88 |
| 10-23 12:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 23? | BUY | 0.997 | $47.93 |
| 10-23 12:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 23? | BUY | 0.998 | $59.91 |
| 10-22 11:42 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.09 |