0x25C5f36B0b016ec83A14965fEA1bc5C3EC398581-1767479353082
0x25c5f36b0b016ec83a14965fea1bc5c3ec398581
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $97.6k
- Markets traded
- 1,464
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,464
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration32.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No | 0.173 | 0.456 | $582.17 | +$360.97 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes | 0.141 | 0.435 | $289.80 | +$195.93 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.463 | 0.805 | $120.92 | +$51.39 |
| Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.251 | 0.285 | $28.35 | +$3.35 |
| Dallas Wings vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 173.5 · Under | 0.480 | 0.480 | $20.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will BNB reach $1100 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.176 | 0.200 | $16.99 | +$1.99 |
| Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 · Under | 0.550 | 0.385 | $14.00 | −$6.00 |
| Singapore Open: Donna Vekic vs Xinyu Wang · Donna Vekic | 0.490 | 0.485 | $6.93 | −$0.07 |
| Spread: Navy (-5.5) · Navy | 0.580 | 0.565 | $4.87 | −$0.13 |
| Washington Nationals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5 · Under | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Washington Nationals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5 · Under | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$106.68at 0.560Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
- +$98.98at 0.697Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
- +$57.35at 0.463Counter-Strike: NIP vs K27 (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs
- +$49.89at 0.644Will a Chinese company have one of the top 5 AI models by December 31?
- +$49.31at 0.651Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 22:40 | Singapore Open: Donna Vekic vs Xinyu Wang | BUY | 0.4899999755 | $7.00 |
| 09-21 22:39 | San Diego 2: Braden Shick vs Patrick Maloney | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 22:35 | Spread: Navy (-5.5) | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 22:34 | Washington Nationals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5 | BUY | 0.6099999927 | $20.00 |
| 09-21 22:34 | Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.5499999807 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 22:33 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.599999988 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 22:33 | Dallas Wings vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 173.5 | BUY | 0.4799999846 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 22:32 | Dallas Wings vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 173.5 | BUY | 0.4799999846 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 22:31 | Washington Nationals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5 | BUY | 0.609999986 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 22:31 | Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.5499999807 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 22:30 | Washington Nationals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 13:12 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $13.91 |
| 09-21 13:11 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.55 | $15.99 |
| 09-20 22:33 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6299999821 | $12.00 |
| 09-20 22:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.816791176 | $70.00 |