sebasti.eth
0x25ba1be76b995c74b8ba023366e429d85bc21eab
- Realised P&L
- $514.37
- Volume
- $40.2k
- Markets traded
- 673
- Open portfolio
- $36.80
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded673
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$237.49at 0.367Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?
- +$183.75at 0.160Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
- +$163.32at 0.578Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$109.37at 0.266Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$107.94at 0.315Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 20:42 | US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton | BUY | 0.12 | $1.20 |
| 09-13 18:48 | US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton | BUY | 0.31 | $1.55 |
| 09-13 18:48 | US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton | BUY | 0.31 | $1.55 |
| 09-11 02:56 | US Open WTA: Coco Gauff vs Elena Rybakina | BUY | 0.37 | $1.85 |
| 09-11 02:39 | US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton | BUY | 0.27 | $5.40 |
| 08-15 18:43 | Will Novak Djokovic Win the Cincinnati Open? | BUY | 0.15 | $4.65 |
| 07-27 03:41 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.44 | $5.28 |
| 07-19 21:48 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.091 | $2.27 |
| 07-19 21:40 | Will the exact score of the penalty shootout in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be Spain 2 - 4 Argentina? | BUY | 0.044 | $1.01 |
| 07-19 21:35 | Will the exact score of the penalty shootout in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be Spain 2 - 4 Argentina? | BUY | 0.044 | $1.10 |
| 07-19 21:34 | Will the exact score of the penalty shootout in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be Spain 7 - 8 Argentina? | BUY | 0.004 | $0.47 |
| 07-19 21:34 | Will the exact score of the penalty shootout in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be Spain 5 - 6 Argentina? | BUY | 0.009 | $1.01 |
| 07-19 20:50 | Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Argentina? | BUY | 0.025 | $0.98 |
| 07-19 20:49 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.3325 | $1.66 |
| 07-19 20:48 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.155 | $0.93 |