PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Wintermelongcr

0x25b8b89ebdf46218ce552548b2d00ce432abefb1

Realised P&L
$-9.4k
Volume
$179.7k
Markets traded
161
Open portfolio
$23.12

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded161
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration99.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Solana reach $200 in October? · No0.9950.991$2.65−$0.01
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 3? · No0.9981.000$2.37+$0.00
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October? · No0.9940.995$2.37+$0.00
Will XRP reach $4.00 in October? · No0.9940.994$2.37−$0.00
Will XRP reach $2.60 in October? · No0.9870.975$2.30−$0.03
Will XRP reach $3.00 in October? · No0.9970.980$2.18−$0.04
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 3? · No0.9931.000$1.67+$0.01
Will XRP reach $2.80 in October? · No0.9860.978$1.66−$0.01
Will Solana reach $180 in October? · No0.9880.978$1.48−$0.02
Will XRP reach $3.20 in October? · No0.9980.995$1.37−$0.00
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in October? · No0.9620.958$1.36−$0.01
Will Solana reach $190 in October? · No0.9920.986$1.33−$0.01
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France0.6000.000$0.00−$60.32
Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale? · Yes0.5580.000$0.00−$8.37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 9? · No0.9800.000$0.00−$1.37

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 13:48Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 3?BUY0.9929999982$1.66
10-03 13:47Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 3?BUY0.998$2.37
10-03 13:47Will XRP reach $2.60 in October?BUY0.9869999818$2.33
10-03 13:47Will XRP reach $2.80 in October?BUY0.9859999811$1.67
10-03 13:47Will XRP reach $3.00 in October?BUY0.9969999991$2.22
10-03 13:47Will XRP reach $3.20 in October?BUY0.998$1.37
10-03 13:47Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?BUY0.9939999312$2.37
10-03 13:47Will Solana reach $180 in October?BUY0.9879999947$1.50
10-03 13:46Will Solana reach $190 in October?BUY0.9919995973$1.34
10-03 13:46Will Solana reach $200 in October?BUY0.9949999383$2.66
10-03 13:46Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in October?BUY0.961999611$1.37
10-03 13:46Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?BUY0.9939999983$2.37
07-12 12:46France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.599999998$60.32
07-10 16:06Spain vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceBUY0.7474999983$46.09
06-28 07:37South Africa vs. Canada: Team to AdvanceBUY0.75$35.05