0x25b3CCa90737eEDd9c9a3c2a1FdFB38A3591ee7D-1775436294376
0x25b3cca90737eedd9c9a3c2a1fdfb38a3591ee7d
- Realised P&L
- $33.01
- Volume
- $4.4k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $26.73
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration72.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026? · No | 0.930 | 0.976 | $15.74 | +$0.74 |
| Will Samuel Marcos Daza Taype win the next Lima mayoral elections? · Yes | 0.038 | 0.028 | $10.95 | −$4.05 |
| Will Carlos Alberto Tejada Noriega win the next Lima mayoral elections? · Yes | 0.206 | 0.001 | $0.04 | −$14.96 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$44.06at 0.099Will Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$16.61at 0.105Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$0.07at 0.994Will Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo win the next Lima mayoral elections?
- +$-5.94at 0.235Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$-7.11at 0.237Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 06:35 | Will Samuel Marcos Daza Taype win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.0376745666 | $15.00 |
| 09-23 06:32 | Will Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo win the next Lima mayoral elections? | SELL | 0.999 | $15.07 |
| 08-29 18:30 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.022 | $17.15 |
| 08-24 05:19 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0380000001 | $15.00 |
| 08-24 01:01 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0389999976 | $15.00 |
| 08-14 22:40 | Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026? | BUY | 0.9298713802 | $15.00 |
| 08-14 22:35 | Will Carlos Alberto Tejada Noriega win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.2059853949 | $15.00 |
| 08-14 22:34 | Will Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.994 | $15.00 |
| 06-21 21:15 | Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL | 0.1606762507 | $13.97 |
| 06-21 19:40 | Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2299999931 | $20.00 |
| 06-01 17:49 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.235 | $51.55 |
| 05-31 06:22 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2279319818 | $50.00 |
| 05-20 04:52 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.2592332128 | $23.67 |
| 04-25 19:33 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.299366538 | $27.33 |
| 04-10 23:32 | Will Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.278 | $48.94 |