PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x25b3CCa90737eEDd9c9a3c2a1FdFB38A3591ee7D-1775436294376

0x25b3cca90737eedd9c9a3c2a1fdfb38a3591ee7d

Realised P&L
$33.01
Volume
$4.4k
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$26.73

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration72.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026? · No0.9300.976$15.74+$0.74
Will Samuel Marcos Daza Taype win the next Lima mayoral elections? · Yes0.0380.028$10.95$4.05
Will Carlos Alberto Tejada Noriega win the next Lima mayoral elections? · Yes0.2060.001$0.04$14.96

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 06:35Will Samuel Marcos Daza Taype win the next Lima mayoral elections?BUY0.0376745666$15.00
09-23 06:32Will Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo win the next Lima mayoral elections?SELL0.999$15.07
08-29 18:30Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.022$17.15
08-24 05:19Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.0380000001$15.00
08-24 01:01Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.0389999976$15.00
08-14 22:40Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?BUY0.9298713802$15.00
08-14 22:35Will Carlos Alberto Tejada Noriega win the next Lima mayoral elections?BUY0.2059853949$15.00
08-14 22:34Will Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo win the next Lima mayoral elections?BUY0.994$15.00
06-21 21:15Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?SELL0.1606762507$13.97
06-21 19:40Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?BUY0.2299999931$20.00
06-01 17:49Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL0.235$51.55
05-31 06:22Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.2279319818$50.00
05-20 04:52Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL0.2592332128$23.67
04-25 19:33Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.299366538$27.33
04-10 23:32Will Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL0.278$48.94