0x25Af36a7566041946BB8134CC676a9F31EC08Cde-1775998515704
0x25af36a7566041946bb8134cc676a9f31ec08cde
- Realised P&L
- $-187.13
- Volume
- $30.2k
- Markets traded
- 241
- Open portfolio
- $25.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded241
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on September 28? · No | 0.990 | 1.000 | $5.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C or higher on September 29? · No | 0.993 | 0.997 | $5.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or below on September 28? · No | 0.990 | 0.994 | $5.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or higher on September 30? · No | 0.990 | 0.990 | $5.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C or below on September 29? · No | 0.990 | 0.977 | $4.93 | −$0.07 |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C or below on September 20? · No | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$225.00at 0.100Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on April 17?
- +$90.57at 0.655Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 17?
- +$64.90at 0.100Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on April 17?
- +$57.92at 0.035Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 17?
- +$20.31at 0.761Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 11:11 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or below on September 28? | BUY | 0.9899998139 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 07:33 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or higher on September 30? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 09-27 20:04 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C or below on September 29? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 09-27 13:00 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C or higher on September 29? | BUY | 0.9929999988 | $5.00 |
| 09-26 23:41 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C or higher on September 27? | BUY | 0.9929999988 | $5.00 |
| 09-26 13:35 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on September 28? | BUY | 0.9899998139 | $5.00 |
| 09-26 11:56 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be 94°F or higher on September 26? | BUY | 0.9899998139 | $5.00 |
| 09-25 19:16 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 72°F or higher on September 27? | BUY | 0.9899998139 | $5.00 |
| 09-25 19:16 | Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C or higher on September 27? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 09-25 16:03 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 90°F or higher on September 27? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 09-25 15:06 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C or below on September 27? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 09-25 13:34 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 53°F or below on September 27? | BUY | 0.9899998139 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 18:52 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C or higher on September 26? | BUY | 0.97 | $4.93 |
| 09-24 15:06 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be 57°F or below on September 26? | BUY | 0.992 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 16:03 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 67°F or below on September 24? | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $5.00 |