PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Cerco

0x25a74e4d0795b842a4e8e934620781e3c5f48b7c

Realised P&L
$-24.6k
Volume
$2.39M
Markets traded
988
Open portfolio
$812.68

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded988
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2027? · No0.3840.780$342.54+$174.08
1win FDV above $45M one day after launch? · Yes0.9701.000$195.47+$5.77
Will KAST launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.7440.930$188.99+$37.71
1win FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.9661.000$47.22+$1.61
Will Trump say "Burger" in October? · Yes0.1040.182$20.02+$8.54
Will KAST launch a token by March 31, 2027? · No0.6240.540$18.42−$2.86
1win FDV above $70M one day after launch? · Yes0.1200.001$0.01−$1.42
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 26? · Yes0.5500.001$0.00−$2.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 22:36Will Trump say "Burger" in October?BUY0.148$1.48
11-01 21:031win FDV above $45M one day after launch?BUY0.97$189.70
11-01 21:021win FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.968$440.02
11-01 21:011win FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.97$194.00
11-01 21:001win FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.94145367$200.00
11-01 20:211win FDV above $70M one day after launch?SELL0.13$96.60
11-01 20:201win FDV above $70M one day after launch?SELL0.13$10.40
11-01 20:181win FDV above $70M one day after launch?BUY0.119760479$100.00
11-01 19:221win FDV above $70M one day after launch?SELL0.3227226612$165.41
11-01 18:501win FDV above $70M one day after launch?BUY0.65$333.16
11-01 18:371win FDV above $70M one day after launch?BUY0.52$84.01
11-01 02:16U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?SELL0.9790869266$653.95
11-01 01:59U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?BUY0.9799401276$654.52
11-01 01:50U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by December 31?BUY0.985$965.30
11-01 01:24U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?SELL0.04$24.91