0x25a628449d0536e619c7b38fead9dcc54394ac11
0x25a628449d0536e619c7b38fead9dcc54394ac11
- Realised P&L
- $-244.88
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $0.21
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to at least 5 years in prison? · Yes | 0.652 | 0.009 | $0.21 | −$14.35 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on April 11? · Down | 0.405 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$95.16 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? · No | 0.950 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$73.01 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? · Yes | 0.359 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$47.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.18at 0.836Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
- +$6.97at 0.930Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
- +$5.29at 0.912Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A
- +$-4.34at 0.442Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 2 weeks?
- +$-4.73at 0.290Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-21 14:26 | Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to at least 5 years in prison? | BUY | 0.6521042433 | $14.56 |
| 05-21 14:16 | Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to at least 5 years in prison? | SELL | 0.0074479305 | $1.80 |
| 05-20 09:17 | Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to at least 5 years in prison? | BUY | 0.1970575064 | $47.61 |
| 05-20 09:07 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.3588504129 | $47.98 |
| 05-19 19:27 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $114.46 |
| 05-04 11:51 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $73.00 |
| 05-04 11:48 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.949 | $62.19 |
| 05-04 11:48 | Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 2 weeks? | SELL | 0.32 | $10.41 |
| 05-01 18:59 | Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 2 weeks? | BUY | 0.4301329341 | $14.00 |
| 05-01 06:14 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.8299999993 | $100.00 |
| 05-01 06:13 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | SELL | 0.82 | $54.66 |
| 04-30 18:26 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A | BUY | 0.9099999992 | $55.00 |
| 04-30 18:23 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $50.00 |
| 04-30 04:51 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | SELL | 0.995 | $106.98 |
| 04-11 06:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 11? | BUY | 0.3874204521 | $86.77 |