PolyBot

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Traders

AmagiBeires

0x259c795d86d4f64b1eaf4cd6a0c999e9588a7c55

Realised P&L
$-2.8k
Volume
$143.3k
Markets traded
34
Open portfolio
$10.07

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded34
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration83.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample27 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)7.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison? · Yes0.0420.027$6.38$3.62
Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0120.004$3.69$6.31
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$10.00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$10.00
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0720.000$0.00$10.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00$5.00
Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by April 30? · Yes0.0460.000$0.00$23.62

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-17 10:36Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?BUY0.012$5.00
04-11 05:45Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by April 30?BUY0.0187019185$9.02
03-09 07:42 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?BUY0.0524299813$10.00
03-09 07:40Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?BUY0.0244857982$10.00
03-09 07:39Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?BUY0.042999996$10.00
03-09 07:38Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.0122110772$10.00
03-09 07:37Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY0.0919999918$10.00
03-09 07:36Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?BUY0.0190000001$10.00
03-09 06:02Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?BUY0.0710946566$10.00
03-06 18:11Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?BUY0.0423093156$10.00
03-06 18:08Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?BUY0.012$10.00
03-06 18:07Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?BUY0.0161750714$10.00
03-06 18:07Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?BUY0.0282926802$10.00
03-06 18:07Will another country strike Iran by March 7?BUY0.1$10.00
03-06 18:06Will Iran strike Iraq in March?BUY0.032520069$10.00