0x259c157a0a42ee1204a667db78258cfd5d1270df
0x259c157a0a42ee1204a667db78258cfd5d1270df
- Realised P&L
- $0.14
- Volume
- $139.78
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $1.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)47.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.425 | $1.18 | +$0.18 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.520 | $0.75 | −$0.25 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.59at 0.217Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?
- +$4.08at 0.237S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 22?
- +$3.46at 0.268Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $355 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$2.87at 0.300US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$1.91at 0.349Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 16:49 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 11:52 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:26 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 14:02 | Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 05:35 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 10:25 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 00:21 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $62 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 15:37 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $154 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 05:23 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $330 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 21:22 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 13:15 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $186 in September? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 02:41 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 08:11 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:58 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 11:18 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |