PolyBot

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Traders

Apate

0x25991090bba65fc2b8835467ef16070c7fb89a4a

Realised P&L
$-1.4k
Volume
$66.5k
Markets traded
77
Open portfolio
$378.45

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded77
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Seattle have between 1 and 1.5 inches of precipitation in September? · Yes0.2360.180$107.28$33.62
Will Hong Kong have less than 275mm of precipitation in September? · Yes0.8600.964$96.35+$10.35
Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in September? · Yes0.3560.405$93.31+$11.27
Will it rain in Philadelphia, PA on September 23? · Yes0.1400.545$21.80+$16.20
Will it rain in Denver, CO on September 23? · Yes0.4200.390$13.65$1.05
Will it rain in Atlanta, GA on September 23? · Yes0.4640.415$13.28$1.56
Will it rain in New York, NY on September 22? · No0.6700.970$11.63+$3.59
Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on September 22? · Yes0.7030.750$10.71+$0.67
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in September? · Yes0.1280.105$6.69$1.47
Will it rain in Atlanta, GA on September 22? · Yes0.1600.025$2.33$12.55
Will it rain in New Orleans, LA on September 22? · Yes0.1300.035$1.40$3.80
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 23? · Yes0.4600.001$0.02$14.98
Will it rain in Philadelphia, PA on September 21? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$9.60
Will it rain in Miami, FL on September 21? · No0.1480.000$0.00$10.53

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 02:53Will it rain in Denver, CO on September 23?BUY0.42$14.70
09-23 00:31Will it rain in Philadelphia, PA on September 23?BUY0.14$5.60
09-23 00:29Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in September?BUY0.1280395232$8.16
09-23 00:06Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 23?BUY0.46$15.00
09-22 23:05Will it rain in Atlanta, GA on September 23?BUY0.46375$14.84
09-22 23:04Will it rain in Atlanta, GA on September 22?BUY0.16$14.88
09-22 14:39Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in September?BUY0.3560766526$82.04
09-22 11:07Will Seattle have between 1 and 1.5 inches of precipitation in September?BUY0.2440973262$136.94
09-22 11:06Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on September 22?BUY0.46$10.00
09-22 10:56Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on September 22?BUY0.7029971989$10.04
09-22 10:02Will Seattle have between 1 and 1.5 inches of precipitation in September?BUY0.1825$14.60
09-22 00:28Will it rain in New Orleans, LA on September 22?BUY0.13$5.20
09-22 00:28Will it rain in New Orleans, LA on September 21?SELL0.01$0.22
09-21 22:19Will it rain in New York, NY on September 22?BUY0.67$8.04
09-21 16:07Will it rain in New Orleans, LA on September 21?BUY0.45$9.90