Apate
0x25991090bba65fc2b8835467ef16070c7fb89a4a
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $66.5k
- Markets traded
- 77
- Open portfolio
- $378.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded77
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$79.14at 0.121Will it rain in Dallas, TX on September 21?
- +$67.01at 0.807US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
- +$30.42at 0.613Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 19?
- +$29.83at 0.671Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 19?
- +$25.83at 0.530Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on September 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 02:53 | Will it rain in Denver, CO on September 23? | BUY | 0.42 | $14.70 |
| 09-23 00:31 | Will it rain in Philadelphia, PA on September 23? | BUY | 0.14 | $5.60 |
| 09-23 00:29 | Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in September? | BUY | 0.1280395232 | $8.16 |
| 09-23 00:06 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.46 | $15.00 |
| 09-22 23:05 | Will it rain in Atlanta, GA on September 23? | BUY | 0.46375 | $14.84 |
| 09-22 23:04 | Will it rain in Atlanta, GA on September 22? | BUY | 0.16 | $14.88 |
| 09-22 14:39 | Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in September? | BUY | 0.3560766526 | $82.04 |
| 09-22 11:07 | Will Seattle have between 1 and 1.5 inches of precipitation in September? | BUY | 0.2440973262 | $136.94 |
| 09-22 11:06 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on September 22? | BUY | 0.46 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 10:56 | Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on September 22? | BUY | 0.7029971989 | $10.04 |
| 09-22 10:02 | Will Seattle have between 1 and 1.5 inches of precipitation in September? | BUY | 0.1825 | $14.60 |
| 09-22 00:28 | Will it rain in New Orleans, LA on September 22? | BUY | 0.13 | $5.20 |
| 09-22 00:28 | Will it rain in New Orleans, LA on September 21? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.22 |
| 09-21 22:19 | Will it rain in New York, NY on September 22? | BUY | 0.67 | $8.04 |
| 09-21 16:07 | Will it rain in New Orleans, LA on September 21? | BUY | 0.45 | $9.90 |