alexander-kameo
0x2591e221bdc485163f1f7f2dc68320a4086dd7e3
- Realised P&L
- $-44.27
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $3.61
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration75.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.02at 0.547Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
- +$1.64at 0.557Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
- +$-0.29at 0.462Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 15?
- +$-1.68at 0.577Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 11:28 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 11:28 | Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 11:27 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 11:27 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.045168628 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 11:26 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 11:17 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 15? | SELL | 0.37 | $1.04 |
| 10-13 16:57 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.45 | $1.26 |
| 07-16 08:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET | BUY | 0.5499999957 | $6.34 |
| 07-16 08:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET | BUY | 0.5199999896 | $2.00 |
| 07-16 07:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999566 | $2.00 |
| 07-16 07:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $2.00 |
| 07-16 07:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5399999784 | $2.00 |
| 07-16 07:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET | BUY | 0.5299999874 | $5.88 |
| 07-16 07:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET | SELL | 0.46 | $5.75 |
| 07-16 07:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET | BUY | 0.56 | $7.00 |