PolyBot

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Traders

alexander-kameo

0x2591e221bdc485163f1f7f2dc68320a4086dd7e3

Realised P&L
$-44.27
Volume
$1.2k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$3.61

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration75.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 15? · Yes0.2300.230$1.00+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 15? · Yes0.2400.200$0.83−$0.17
Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on October 15? · Yes0.0450.030$0.66−$0.34
Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on October 15? · Yes0.6600.405$0.61−$0.39
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 15? · Yes0.0010.001$0.50−$0.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET · Up0.8300.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET · Up0.5500.000$0.00−$6.34
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET · Up0.5400.000$0.00−$14.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET · Up0.5300.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET · Up0.4300.000$0.00−$14.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET · Up0.5200.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET · Up0.4700.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 11:28Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 15?BUY0.2299999517$1.00
10-14 11:28Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on October 15?BUY0.6599997888$1.00
10-14 11:27Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 15?BUY0.2399999808$1.00
10-14 11:27Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on October 15?BUY0.045168628$1.00
10-14 11:26Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 15?BUY0.001$1.00
10-14 11:17Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 15?SELL0.37$1.04
10-13 16:57Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 15?BUY0.45$1.26
07-16 08:12Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETBUY0.5499999957$6.34
07-16 08:05Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ETBUY0.5199999896$2.00
07-16 07:59Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ETBUY0.5099999566$2.00
07-16 07:59Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ETBUY0.5299998781$2.00
07-16 07:53Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ETBUY0.5399999784$2.00
07-16 07:42Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ETBUY0.5299999874$5.88
07-16 07:40Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ETSELL0.46$5.75
07-16 07:37Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ETBUY0.56$7.00