frcst
0x2591d16ecf44ba1a469f9a6c60121b1d540b99c6
- Realised P&L
- $-129.54
- Volume
- $552.88
- Markets traded
- 2
- Open portfolio
- $188.81
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-23.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded2
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.579 | 0.615 | $188.81 | +$10.95 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? · No | 0.518 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$127.47 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-07 00:05 | Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.57 | $11.40 |
| 07-07 00:05 | Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.58 | $166.46 |
| 07-06 21:38 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? | BUY | 0.52 | $107.64 |