0x258c66f6eA9f35eA3E05442904F1E6766a31a978-1721430605440
0x258c66f6ea9f35ea3e05442904f1e6766a31a978
- Realised P&L
- $9.66
- Volume
- $3.4k
- Markets traded
- 107
- Open portfolio
- $9.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded107
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana dip to $80 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.310 | $3.44 | +$1.44 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.155 | 0.385 | $2.78 | +$1.66 |
| Will Sui dip to $0.40 before 2027? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.100 | $1.54 | −$0.46 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.150 | $0.71 | −$0.29 |
| Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.135 | $0.64 | −$0.36 |
| Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in October? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.041 | $0.51 | −$0.49 |
| Twins vs. Dodgers · Twins | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Athletics vs. Rangers · Athletics | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Rockies vs. Cardinals · Rockies | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Royals vs. Cubs · Royals | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Pirates vs. Brewers · Pirates | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Tigers vs. Phillies · Tigers | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| White Sox vs. Mariners · White Sox | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Sharks vs. Islanders · Sharks | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Brewers vs. Nationals · Nationals | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.51at 0.581Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$13.03at 0.304Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$8.14at 0.380Angels vs. Phillies
- +$7.09at 0.220Jets vs. Broncos
- +$4.44at 0.250Bengals vs. Commanders
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 18:02 | Will Sui dip to $0.40 before 2027? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 17:24 | Will Sui dip to $0.40 before 2027? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 03:42 | Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in October? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 03:29 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.26 | $1.48 |
| 10-09 11:36 | Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 11:35 | Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0805326332 | $1.07 |
| 10-09 11:35 | Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 11:32 | Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.081427716 | $0.95 |
| 10-06 17:03 | Will Solana dip to $80 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 17:03 | Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1701492532 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 16:54 | Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1719999849 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 16:54 | Will Solana dip to $80 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 16:51 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 16:51 | Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $2.00 |
| 10-06 14:20 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $1.00 |