PolyBot

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Traders

parisls

0x2589aefcfbb624a6956e45cdac63e74d48f95e0f

Realised P&L
$-42.03
Volume
$44.9k
Markets traded
95
Open portfolio
$4.04

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded95
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)63.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.1870.442$2.36+$1.36
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? · Yes0.0490.082$1.67+$0.67
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open? · No0.2310.000$0.00$1.00
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 27, 2026? · No0.0380.000$0.00$2.00
ITF Tsaghkadzor: Kristina Kroitor vs Alisa Danilova · Alisa Danilova0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$2.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 8? · No0.3890.000$0.00$10.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 14? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 14? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$1.00
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? · No0.1200.000$0.00$1.00
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in May? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$2.00
Netanyahu out by June 30? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00$1.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 5? · No0.0020.000$0.00$1.00
ITF Brcko: Josip Simundza vs Marc Majdandzic · Marc Majdandzic0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-29 09:17Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?BUY0.1899998784$1.00
06-29 09:17Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.5799999983$20.00
06-22 11:19Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:15AM-7:20AM ETBUY0.9699999951$2.00
06-13 07:59Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ETBUY0.9299999977$24.00
06-13 07:29Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 14?BUY0.0084825638$1.00
06-13 07:28Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 14?BUY0.0011148956$1.00
06-13 07:28Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 14?BUY0.002$1.00
06-13 07:25Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June?BUY0.0140000003$1.00
06-13 07:25Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in June?BUY0.0135135135$1.00
06-13 07:25Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in June?BUY0.0060000001$1.00
06-12 07:34Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETBUY0.2999999925$20.00
06-10 10:28Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ETBUY0.08$1.00
06-10 10:27Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ETBUY0.25$0.07
06-10 10:06Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ETBUY0.8599999991$20.00
06-10 10:04Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETBUY0.96$1.00
Trader parisls · PolyBot