Rob828hdsa
0x25874947a572b26e5389f7a9b00c86e6790b6ae9
- Realised P&L
- $-4.0k
- Volume
- $142.9k
- Markets traded
- 677
- Open portfolio
- $617.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded677
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$140.09at 0.728Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?
- +$128.01at 0.910Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
- +$98.93at 0.759Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
- +$92.39at 0.929Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
- +$80.48at 0.880Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 09:47 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October? | BUY | 0.87 | $7.39 |
| 09-27 18:14 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026 | SELL | 0.97555 | $19.51 |
| 09-27 10:22 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.034 | $0.42 |
| 09-27 09:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 09-20 22:00 | Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.025 | $0.23 |
| 09-20 21:51 | Berlin State Election: More Votes to CDU or Grüne? | SELL | 0.997 | $34.64 |
| 09-20 19:09 | Berlin State Election: More Votes to CDU or Linke? | BUY | 0.996 | $20.00 |
| 09-16 07:12 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.989 | $79.12 |
| 09-16 07:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET | BUY | 0.49 | $19.60 |
| 09-16 07:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET | BUY | 0.58 | $29.00 |
| 09-15 22:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET | BUY | 0.36 | $10.80 |
| 09-15 22:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET | SELL | 0.34 | $1.13 |
| 09-15 22:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET | BUY | 0.46 | $23.00 |
| 09-15 21:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET | BUY | 0.45 | $22.50 |
| 09-15 21:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $40.00 |