PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Rob828hdsa

0x25874947a572b26e5389f7a9b00c86e6790b6ae9

Realised P&L
$-4.0k
Volume
$142.9k
Markets traded
677
Open portfolio
$617.15

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded677
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration49.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September? · No0.8581.000$352.82+$49.87
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September? · No0.7991.000$200.88+$40.31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September? · No0.9171.000$30.28+$2.48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in September? · No0.9631.000$19.99+$0.73
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October? · Yes0.8340.635$11.02−$3.46
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.3800.215$2.15−$1.65
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 6.5 Total Corners · Over0.7700.000$0.00−$3.35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April? · Yes0.6000.000$0.00−$60.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET · Up0.8500.000$0.00−$25.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET · Down0.8010.000$0.00−$64.10
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET · Up0.8000.000$0.00−$16.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET · Down0.7300.000$0.00−$7.30
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET · Up0.8000.000$0.00−$40.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET · Down0.7400.000$0.00−$22.20
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET · Up0.7800.000$0.00−$10.13

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 09:47Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?BUY0.87$7.39
09-27 18:14Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026SELL0.97555$19.51
09-27 10:22Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?SELL0.034$0.42
09-27 09:53Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ETBUY0.51$2.55
09-20 22:00Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?SELL0.025$0.23
09-20 21:51Berlin State Election: More Votes to CDU or Grüne?SELL0.997$34.64
09-20 19:09Berlin State Election: More Votes to CDU or Linke?BUY0.996$20.00
09-16 07:12Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 16?BUY0.989$79.12
09-16 07:08Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETBUY0.49$19.60
09-16 07:07Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETBUY0.58$29.00
09-15 22:05Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETBUY0.36$10.80
09-15 22:03Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ETSELL0.34$1.13
09-15 22:02Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ETBUY0.46$23.00
09-15 21:59Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ETBUY0.45$22.50
09-15 21:58Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETBUY0.98$40.00