0x2585966cb209654d880cdce25555caabfe7df8f4
0x2585966cb209654d880cdce25555caabfe7df8f4
- Realised P&L
- $3.37
- Volume
- $161.30
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $2.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026? · No | 0.740 | 0.790 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
| Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.465 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.31at 0.308S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 16?
- +$2.23at 0.310US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$2.20at 0.319S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 15?
- +$1.86at 0.350Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?
- +$1.83at 0.359Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $184 Week of August 24 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 19:13 | Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 03:28 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 19:28 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $167 Week of October 26 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 11:13 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 14:46 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $272 Week of October 26 2026? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 06:46 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 10-23 04:53 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 10-22 20:31 | Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-22 12:13 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 03:08 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 22:04 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 01:01 | Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 15:45 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 23:04 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.6799996464 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 15:00 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 16? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |