Lucasbgc
0x257cba702a3418bc46f6c834ab5b25d219691f61
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $194.7k
- Markets traded
- 252
- Open portfolio
- $655.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded252
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-01? · Yes | 0.610 | 1.000 | $655.41 | +$255.41 |
| Will CF América win on 2026-10-31? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$150.00 |
| Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-10-14? · No | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Celtic FC win on 2026-10-28? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$284.57 |
| Will AD Pasto win on 2026-10-19? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Will Shabab Al Ahli Dubai win on 2026-10-13? · No | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$220.00 |
| Will Club Nacional de Football win on 2026-10-19? · No | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-10-28? · No | 0.850 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$400.00 |
| Will CD Tolima win on 2026-10-25? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
| Will FC København win on 2026-10-26? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$230.00 |
| Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-10-13? · No | 0.790 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$400.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$344.53at 0.542Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-08?
- +$259.51at 0.187Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-10-25?
- +$242.39at 0.482Will FC Alverca win on 2026-10-12?
- +$240.56at 0.452Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-10-01?
- +$224.12at 0.552Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 19:09 | Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.6099999999 | $400.00 |
| 11-01 17:36 | Will Angers SCO win on 2026-10-31? | SELL | 0.98315996 | $245.79 |
| 11-01 16:24 | Will Angers SCO win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.86 | $215.00 |
| 11-01 16:23 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-01? | SELL | 0.994 | $431.13 |
| 11-01 15:25 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.8299999999 | $360.00 |
| 11-01 03:49 | Will CF América win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.419999999 | $150.00 |
| 11-01 03:47 | Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-10-31? | SELL | 0.67 | $159.05 |
| 11-01 03:45 | Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.6899999997 | $163.80 |
| 11-01 03:06 | Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-10-31? | SELL | 0.69 | $160.97 |
| 11-01 02:05 | Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.8572982241 | $200.00 |
| 11-01 02:04 | Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-10-31? | SELL | 0.84 | $200.00 |
| 11-01 01:31 | Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.8399999997 | $200.00 |
| 11-01 01:31 | Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-10-31? | SELL | 0.84 | $214.53 |
| 11-01 01:21 | Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.8554451691 | $218.48 |
| 11-01 01:20 | Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-10-31? | SELL | 0.4229525272 | $176.23 |