0x257bc9ddd7ffd2c8ccbe91ef69cc9504d6362cbc
0x257bc9ddd7ffd2c8ccbe91ef69cc9504d6362cbc
- Realised P&L
- $-12.53
- Volume
- $321.73
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $22.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.684 | 0.624 | $16.29 | −$1.58 |
| Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No | 0.945 | 0.885 | $4.06 | −$0.28 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.820 | 0.770 | $2.20 | −$0.14 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.50at 0.786Will the USS Abraham Lincoln depart CENTCOM by August 31, 2026?
- +$1.35at 0.660Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?
- +$1.21at 0.550Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?
- +$1.17at 0.823US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
- +$0.45at 0.875Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 19, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 18:15 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.819999965 | $2.34 |
| 09-22 18:36 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | SELL | 0.66 | $1.70 |
| 09-22 17:47 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.7099999418 | $1.83 |
| 09-22 16:27 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | SELL | 0.8 | $2.62 |
| 09-22 14:44 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.45 |
| 09-17 20:33 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | SELL | 0.66 | $0.72 |
| 09-17 20:26 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | SELL | 0.66 | $0.51 |
| 09-17 20:12 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | SELL | 0.66 | $0.30 |
| 09-17 19:35 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | SELL | 0.66 | $0.02 |
| 09-17 18:02 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | SELL | 0.66 | $0.41 |
| 09-17 17:30 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | SELL | 0.66 | $0.06 |
| 09-17 17:28 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | SELL | 0.66 | $0.03 |
| 09-17 09:05 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.6699999968 | $2.09 |
| 09-14 21:00 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.63 | $1.13 |
| 09-14 20:03 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.632 | $0.18 |