0x257869e5b018c54a08cf14c76b60f85648edb2a6
- Realised P&L
- $-7.6k
- Volume
- $487.7k
- Markets traded
- 110
- Open portfolio
- $401.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded110
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · No | 0.609 | 0.043 | $244.12 | −$3.3k |
| Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.001 | $157.79 | −$8.3k |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner · T1 | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$488.04 |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner · T1 | 0.475 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$395.80 |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner · T1 | 0.387 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$534.61 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.9kat 0.797Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
- +$1.5kat 0.696Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5)
- +$1.4kat 0.624Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants
- +$1.3kat 0.647LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
- +$972.44at 0.420LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 3 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-12 18:44 | LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.72 | $332.64 |
| 06-12 18:33 | LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B | BUY | 0.8971891892 | $497.94 |
| 06-12 18:17 | Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs Forsaken (+1.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $176.90 |
| 06-12 18:17 | LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B | BUY | 0.8 | $328.80 |
| 06-12 11:22 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner | BUY | 0.4751553421 | $395.80 |
| 06-12 10:26 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner | BUY | 0.42 | $488.04 |
| 06-12 09:29 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.47 | $329.00 |
| 06-12 09:09 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.52 | $490.36 |
| 06-12 09:02 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.48 | $254.40 |
| 06-12 08:55 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.0751824 | $18.80 |
| 06-12 08:48 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.23 | $5.75 |
| 06-12 08:47 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.24 | $6.00 |
| 06-12 08:46 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.27 | $6.75 |
| 06-12 08:45 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.27 | $6.75 |
| 06-12 08:44 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.28658 | $7.16 |