Andrii1122
0x257309c4c37a38226e6921caa6b9610a23e403b1
- Realised P&L
- $539.59
- Volume
- $19.6k
- Markets traded
- 492
- Open portfolio
- $166.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded492
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$413.26at 0.189Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?
- +$111.69at 0.125Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass by October 31?
- +$102.09at 0.580Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?
- +$72.45at 0.326Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?
- +$19.87at 0.638Will Russia recapture territory in Kucheriv Yar by November 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 20:26 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.3699999976 | $25.00 |
| 10-03 20:26 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $25.00 |
| 10-03 16:14 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.5125297292 | $39.00 |
| 08-30 15:19 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.25 |
| 08-16 07:00 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? | SELL | 0.6966139657 | $52.87 |
| 08-10 14:44 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 15? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 08-10 14:43 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.54 | $1.08 |
| 07-20 11:39 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31? | BUY | 0.2 | $12.00 |
| 07-20 11:37 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.49 | $9.80 |
| 06-24 11:24 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? | BUY | 0.2159999844 | $10.00 |
| 06-24 11:23 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.52 | $10.40 |
| 06-22 11:18 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $3.00 |
| 06-06 12:50 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? | BUY | 0.6587339028 | $50.00 |
| 06-06 12:49 | Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? | SELL | 0.4224 | $52.80 |
| 06-06 11:42 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3260634349 | $100.00 |