PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Andrii1122

0x257309c4c37a38226e6921caa6b9610a23e403b1

Realised P&L
$539.59
Volume
$19.6k
Markets traded
492
Open portfolio
$166.90

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded492
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3260.195$87.12−$58.46
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.5120.640$48.70+$9.70
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.3700.460$31.08+$6.08
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET · Down0.6880.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET · Up0.6880.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET · Up0.7660.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET · Down0.7250.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET · Up0.7460.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET · Up0.7270.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 15? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET · Up0.7570.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET · Up0.8240.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET · Up0.7080.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET · Down0.6730.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 20:26Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?BUY0.3699999976$25.00
10-03 20:26Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?SELL0.2$25.00
10-03 16:14Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2027?BUY0.5125297292$39.00
08-30 15:19Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?SELL0.05$1.25
08-16 07:00Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?SELL0.6966139657$52.87
08-10 14:44Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 15?BUY0.1$2.00
08-10 14:43Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?SELL0.54$1.08
07-20 11:39Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?BUY0.2$12.00
07-20 11:37Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?SELL0.49$9.80
06-24 11:24Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?BUY0.2159999844$10.00
06-24 11:23Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?SELL0.52$10.40
06-22 11:18Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.12$3.00
06-06 12:50Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?BUY0.6587339028$50.00
06-06 12:49Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?SELL0.4224$52.80
06-06 11:42Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3260634349$100.00