hdrrdh1
0x2572d9c2479f40c3797a9684523391b441eb80db
- Realised P&L
- $-13.5k
- Volume
- $309.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,119
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,119
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on September 30? · Yes | 0.441 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$102.59 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on September 30? · Yes | 0.453 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 30? · Yes | 0.226 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on September 30? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.14 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on September 30? · Yes | 0.475 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$77.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$672.14at 0.640Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
- +$455.05at 0.318Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 1?
- +$422.60at 0.650Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
- +$400.65at 0.718WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $75 on August 5?
- +$286.89at 0.849Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 23:01 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 30? | SELL | 0.99756 | $249.39 |
| 09-30 23:00 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on September 30? | SELL | 0.9952541716 | $169.39 |
| 09-30 22:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET | BUY | 0.723235596 | $98.66 |
| 09-30 21:38 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on September 30? | SELL | 0.9901027 | $99.01 |
| 09-30 21:38 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 30? | SELL | 0.992 | $94.81 |
| 09-30 21:37 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 30? | SELL | 0.9863724404 | $211.95 |
| 09-30 21:37 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 30? | SELL | 0.9863968911 | $195.44 |
| 09-30 20:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5408691835 | $55.44 |
| 09-30 19:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $51.81 |
| 09-30 19:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | BUY | 0.45 | $23.91 |
| 09-30 19:29 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on September 30? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.40 |
| 09-30 19:29 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on September 30? | SELL | 0.0866666667 | $5.20 |
| 09-30 19:23 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on September 30? | BUY | 0.4530733451 | $50.00 |
| 09-30 19:23 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 30? | BUY | 0.2258634135 | $50.00 |
| 09-30 19:10 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 30? | SELL | 0.2611513196 | $22.66 |