7v7v7v7v
0x256ae20bee4ffba719096ce08fa2e175f38cece3
- Realised P&L
- $-480.95
- Volume
- $29.9k
- Markets traded
- 95
- Open portfolio
- $332.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded95
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.588 | 0.990 | $327.13 | +$132.75 |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.994 | $5.63 | +$1.78 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$154.00at 0.230Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
- +$75.00at 0.517Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
- +$69.59at 0.331Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
- +$61.55at 0.517Ethereum Up or Down - July 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
- +$50.00at 0.517Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 03:57 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.68 | $3.85 |
| 08-19 23:35 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.5882486457 | $194.37 |
| 08-14 14:18 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.9626006589 | $192.84 |
| 08-04 12:51 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.981797825 | $189.59 |
| 07-27 13:23 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.974 | $60.87 |
| 07-27 13:21 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $63.78 |
| 07-21 11:46 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.988 | $99.72 |
| 07-21 11:29 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.987 | $25.53 |
| 07-05 13:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET | BUY | 0.48 | $2.49 |
| 07-05 13:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | BUY | 0.86 | $63.61 |
| 07-05 13:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $41.45 |
| 07-05 13:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $41.45 |
| 07-05 13:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $53.80 |
| 07-05 12:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $5.28 |
| 07-05 12:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | BUY | 0.3 | $3.11 |