KRAKENlite
0x2566d9f12b7a75dba979b75ac9c1bed0a17d5953
- Realised P&L
- $-585.01
- Volume
- $1.26M
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $77.37
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration98.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)6.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.004 | $31.86 | −$22.75 |
| Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.003 | $22.75 | −$31.86 |
| Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.003 | $22.75 | −$31.86 |
| Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.92 |
| Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.10 |
| Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.10 |
| Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.20 |
| Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.57at 0.015Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$0.06at 0.950US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.010Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$0.00at 0.007Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$0.00at 0.013Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-19 01:50 | Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.006 | $1.21 |
| 06-19 01:49 | Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.006 | $3.48 |
| 06-19 01:33 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.007 | $1.11 |
| 06-19 01:27 | Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.07 |
| 06-19 01:00 | Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.006 | $9.04 |
| 06-19 00:44 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.04 |
| 06-18 23:48 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.007 | $47.39 |
| 06-18 17:19 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.007 | $15.18 |
| 06-18 17:15 | Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.006 | $1.93 |
| 06-16 04:27 | Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.008 | $36.41 |
| 06-15 23:06 | Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.007 | $31.86 |
| 06-15 19:24 | Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.008 | $36.41 |
| 06-15 13:17 | Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.007 | $31.86 |
| 06-15 11:58 | Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.001 | $4.55 |
| 06-15 08:16 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.006 | $27.31 |