PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

KRAKENlite

0x2566d9f12b7a75dba979b75ac9c1bed0a17d5953

Realised P&L
$-585.01
Volume
$1.26M
Markets traded
38
Open portfolio
$77.37

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded38
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration98.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample30 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)6.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0060.004$31.86$22.75
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0060.003$22.75$31.86
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0060.003$22.75$31.86
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$7.92
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$9.10
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$8.10
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$18.20
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$9.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-19 01:50Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.006$1.21
06-19 01:49Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.006$3.48
06-19 01:33Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.007$1.11
06-19 01:27Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.006$0.07
06-19 01:00Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.006$9.04
06-19 00:44Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.007$0.04
06-18 23:48Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.007$47.39
06-18 17:19Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.007$15.18
06-18 17:15Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.006$1.93
06-16 04:27Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.008$36.41
06-15 23:06Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.007$31.86
06-15 19:24Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.008$36.41
06-15 13:17Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.007$31.86
06-15 11:58Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.001$4.55
06-15 08:16Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.006$27.31