PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

jgndiu

0x255e65b7443dba15bf8bb2aca432cdeb15a7b05d

Realised P&L
$-5.44
Volume
$8.4k
Markets traded
97
Open portfolio
$11.73

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded97
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration54.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration93.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Solana reach $200 in October? · No0.9950.990$10.94−$0.06
Will Đuro Macut be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · Yes0.0070.003$0.78−$0.97
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.40
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.20
Will Elon tweet 375–399 times April 18–25? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.48
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.40
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $82,000 on January 9? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.20
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$2.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 13:45Will Solana reach $200 in October?BUY0.995$11.00
10-05 13:40Will Đuro Macut be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?BUY0.0067183145$1.75
10-05 13:35Will Cyprus vs. Latvia end in a draw?BUY0.76$1.52
09-08 08:59Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.9969999999$14.20
08-03 09:28Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.998999952$14.30
07-10 07:27Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?BUY0.999$14.30
06-15 02:54Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?BUY0.999$85.20
06-07 09:04Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 8?BUY0.998$85.00
05-30 03:54Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in May 2026?BUY0.999$85.00
05-30 03:49Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?BUY0.002$2.10
05-25 09:50Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?BUY0.999$87.10
05-20 02:10Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?BUY0.999$87.00
05-14 03:45Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?BUY0.999$86.90
05-11 10:59Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?BUY0.999$86.89
05-08 09:02Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 9?BUY0.999$86.80