jgndiu
0x255e65b7443dba15bf8bb2aca432cdeb15a7b05d
- Realised P&L
- $-5.44
- Volume
- $8.4k
- Markets traded
- 97
- Open portfolio
- $11.73
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded97
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana reach $200 in October? · No | 0.995 | 0.990 | $10.94 | −$0.06 |
| Will Đuro Macut be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.003 | $0.78 | −$0.97 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.40 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
| Will Elon tweet 375–399 times April 18–25? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.48 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.40 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $82,000 on January 9? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.10at 0.830Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
- +$2.61at 0.978Bitcoin Up or Down on April 10?
- +$2.35at 0.980Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March?
- +$0.46at 0.996Will Elon tweet 300-324 times March 28 - April 4?
- +$0.46at 0.769Will Cyprus vs. Latvia end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 13:45 | Will Solana reach $200 in October? | BUY | 0.995 | $11.00 |
| 10-05 13:40 | Will Đuro Macut be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.0067183145 | $1.75 |
| 10-05 13:35 | Will Cyprus vs. Latvia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.76 | $1.52 |
| 09-08 08:59 | Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $14.20 |
| 08-03 09:28 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.998999952 | $14.30 |
| 07-10 07:27 | Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.30 |
| 06-15 02:54 | Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? | BUY | 0.999 | $85.20 |
| 06-07 09:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 8? | BUY | 0.998 | $85.00 |
| 05-30 03:54 | Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in May 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $85.00 |
| 05-30 03:49 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.10 |
| 05-25 09:50 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $87.10 |
| 05-20 02:10 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $87.00 |
| 05-14 03:45 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $86.90 |
| 05-11 10:59 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $86.89 |
| 05-08 09:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 9? | BUY | 0.999 | $86.80 |