PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

papoxia

0x255a83e69ab6c14d2e2f116283138f8e7afd8245

Realised P&L
$-16.49
Volume
$5.6k
Markets traded
98
Open portfolio
$15.35

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded98
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration83.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · No0.9980.996$12.87−$0.03
Harvard vs. Brown · Harvard0.8200.825$2.48+$0.01
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Ethereum dip to $3,800 October 6-12? · No0.9990.000$0.00−$23.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $122,000 on October 27? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 28? · No0.0020.000$0.00−$1.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 13:03Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.998$12.90
09-25 13:00Harvard vs. BrownBUY0.82$2.46
08-01 04:33Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on August 1?BUY0.998999962$15.40
06-07 12:52Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 8?BUY0.999$78.00
05-28 12:15Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 29?BUY0.999$78.00
05-23 01:54Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets in May 2026?BUY0.999$78.00
05-17 08:55Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?BUY0.9989999882$78.00
05-12 11:22Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 12?BUY0.999$78.00
05-07 09:47Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 8?BUY0.998999988$77.00
05-03 12:22Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?BUY0.998$77.00
04-26 06:56Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?BUY0.999$77.00
04-23 10:45Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?BUY0.999$76.99
04-17 12:09Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?BUY0.998$76.98
04-14 08:26Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,800 on April 15?BUY0.999$76.99
04-09 11:05Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 10?BUY0.999$76.99