Mintlune
0x2559468811e5c54de2d45e7e4bb6c84abf442ef4
- Realised P&L
- $120.43
- Volume
- $37.1k
- Markets traded
- 862
- Open portfolio
- $21.86
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded862
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$245.72at 0.008Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be named in newly released Epstein files?
- +$169.71at 0.018Will Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files?
- +$66.81at 0.029US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$53.07at 0.150Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?
- +$52.14at 0.082Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 17:21 | Israel Election: Arab party and Likud in coalition? | BUY | 0.0309999995 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 17:16 | Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.1159999954 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 15:45 | Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.72 | $21.13 |
| 11-01 15:45 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | SELL | 0.82 | $10.93 |
| 11-01 15:44 | Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? | SELL | 0.8223872772 | $23.53 |
| 11-01 07:42 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 14:50 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $2.00 |
| 10-28 14:47 | Will Cape Verde win AFCON 2027? | BUY | 0.0479999985 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 09:56 | Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0102119442 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 09:48 | Will Marion Maréchal win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 09:47 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0359999997 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 09:46 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $2.00 |
| 10-28 09:45 | Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0119999999 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 09:44 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0164888457 | $2.00 |
| 10-28 09:34 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.44 | $16.59 |